????? ?? ??? ??

??? ?? ? ?? ???? ??? ??? ??? ?? ? ????. ???? ???? ????? ??? ?? ???? ?? ??? ?? ??? ????.

百度这将是一场消耗战，持久战，疲劳战，对任何人都不会有好处。

??? ?? ??? ??? ?? ????? ????? ??? ?? ??? ??? ??? ?? ?? ????? ?, ??? ??? ??? ?? ?? ? ?????(CO₂)? ??? ???? ? ????? ?? ???? ?? ????? ????.^[1]^[2] ???? ???? ?? ????? ?? ?? ??, ??? ??, ???? ?? ???,^[3] ?? ? ??? ?? ?? ?? ??? ???? ? ?? ? ???.? ??? ?? ??? ??? ???? ?? ????, ??? ??? ?? ??? ????.

??? ?????? ??? ?? ??? ???? ??? ???.^[4]^[5] ?? ??? ?? ???? ?? ?? ?? ????? ????? ? ????. 2019? ?? ?? ????? ?? ??? ??? ?? ??? 100%? ??? ?????,^[6] 2021? ????? 99% ??? ?? ??? ??? ?? ??? ????? ????? ??? ???.^[7] ???? ?? ??? ????? ?? ??? ???? ??? ??? ?????.^[8]

?? ?? ???? ?? ?? ????? ??? ??? ?? ???? ?? ????? ?????.^[9] ?? ??? ?? ?? ? ?? ??? ?? ??? ????? ??? ??? ??? ??? ???? ??? ?? ???? ?? ??? ??.^[10] ?? ?? ????? ???? ?? ?? ??? ? ??? ???? ???.^[11] ?? ??? ? ??? ?? ??? ??????, ?? ??? ????? ??? ??? ?? ??? ???? ?? ??? ??^[12]^[13] ???? ??? ????? ??.^[14]

?? ??

??

↑ IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelek?i, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York City, US, pp. 3–32, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.001.
↑ Marvel, K., W. Su, R. Delgado, S. Aarons, A. Chatterjee, M.E. Garcia, Z. Hausfather, K. Hayhoe, D.A. Hence, E.B. Jewett, A. Robel, D. Singh, A. Tripati, and R.S. Vose, 2023: Chapter 2. Climate trends. In: Fifth National Climate Assessment. Crimmins, A.R., C.W. Avery, D.R. Easterling, K.E. Kunkel, B.C. Stewart, and T.K. Maycock, Eds. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA. doi:10.7930/NCA5.2023.CH2
↑ "Total radiative forcing is positive and has led to an uptake of energy by the climate system. The largest contribution to total radiative forcing is caused by the increase in the atmospheric concentration of CO₂ since 1750." and "From 1750 to 2011, CO₂ emissions from fossil fuel combustion and cement production have released 375 [345 to 405] GtC to the atmosphere, while deforestation and other land-use change are estimated to have released 180 [100 to 260] GtC." In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
↑ Myers, Krista F.; Doran, Peter T.; Cook, John; Kotcher, John E.; Myers, Teresa A. (2021? 10? 20?). “Consensus revisited: quantifying scientific agreement on climate change and climate expertise among Earth scientists 10 years later”. 《Environmental Research Letters》 16 (10): 104030. Bibcode:2021ERL....16j4030M. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac2774. S2CID 239047650.
↑ John Cook; ?. (April 2016). “Consensus on consensus: a synthesis of consensus estimates on human-caused global warming”. 《Environmental Research Letters》 11 (4): 048002. Bibcode:2016ERL....11d8002C. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/048002.
↑ Powell, James Lawrence (2019? 11? 20?). “Scientists Reach 100% Consensus on Anthropogenic Global Warming”. 《Bulletin of Science, Technology & Society》 37 (4): 183–184. doi:10.1177/0270467619886266. S2CID 213454806. 2020? 11? 15?? ???.
↑ Lynas, Mark; Houlton, Benjamin Z.; Perry, Simon (2021? 10? 19?). “Greater than 99% consensus on human caused climate change in the peer-reviewed scientific literature”. 《Environmental Research Letters》 16 (11): 114005. Bibcode:2021ERL....16k4005L. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac2966. S2CID 239032360.
↑ Benestad, Rasmus E.; Nuccitelli, Dana; Lewandowsky, Stephan; Hayhoe, Katharine; Hygen, Hans Olav; van Dorland, Rob; Cook, John (2016? 11? 1?). “Learning from mistakes in climate research”. 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》 (??) 126 (3): 699–703. Bibcode:2016ThApC.126..699B. doi:10.1007/s00704-015-1597-5. hdl:2346/92619. ISSN 1434-4483.
↑ “Joint Science Academies' Statement” (PDF). 2005. 2013? 9? 9?? ?? ?? (PDF)?? ??? ??. 2025? 6? 7?? ???. It is likely that most of the warming in recent decades can be attributed to human activities (IPCC 2001). This warming has already led to changes in the Earth's climate.
↑ “'Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis.' IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, Working Group I, Summary for Policymakers. 'The best estimate of the human-induced contribution to warming is similar to the observed warming over this period.'” (PDF). 2018? 10? 22?? ?? ?? (PDF)?? ??? ??. 2025? 6? 7?? ???.
↑ Julie Brigham-Grette; ?. (September 2006). “Petroleum Geologists' Award to Novelist Crichton Is Inappropriate”. 《Eos》 87 (36): 364. Bibcode:2006EOSTr..87..364B. doi:10.1029/2006EO360008. The AAPG stands alone among scientific societies in its denial of human-induced effects on global warming.
↑ Stoddard, Isak; Anderson, Kevin; Capstick, Stuart; Carton, Wim; Depledge, Joanna; Facer, Keri; Gough, Clair; Hache, Frederic; Hoolohan, Claire; Hultman, Martin; H?llstr?m, Niclas; Kartha, Sivan; Klinsky, Sonja; Kuchler, Magdalena; L?vbrand, Eva; Nasiritousi, Naghmeh; Newell, Peter; Peters, Glen P.; Sokona, Youba; Stirling, Andy; Stilwell, Matthew; Spash, Clive L.; Williams, Mariama; ?. (2021? 10? 18?). “Three Decades of Climate Mitigation: Why Haven't We Bent the Global Emissions Curve?”. 《Annual Review of Environment and Resources》 (??) 46 (1): 653–689. doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-012220-011104. hdl:1983/93c742bc-4895-42ac-be81-535f36c5039d. ISSN 1543-5938. S2CID 233815004. 2025? 6? 7?? ???.
↑ Mann, Michael E.; Toles, Tom (2016). 《The Madhouse Effect》. New York Chichester, West Sussex: Columbia University Press. doi:10.7312/mann17786. ISBN 978-0231541817.
↑ Oreskes, Naomi; Conway, Erik (2012). 《Merchants of doubt : how a handful of scientists obscured the truth on issues from tobacco smoke to global warming》. Bloomsbury. ISBN 978-1408824832. OCLC 934374946.

[IPCC_AR6_WGI_SPM-1] IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelek?i, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York City, US, pp. 3–32, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.001.

[NCAR5_Ch2-2] Marvel, K., W. Su, R. Delgado, S. Aarons, A. Chatterjee, M.E. Garcia, Z. Hausfather, K. Hayhoe, D.A. Hence, E.B. Jewett, A. Robel, D. Singh, A. Tripati, and R.S. Vose, 2023: Chapter 2. Climate trends. In: Fifth National Climate Assessment. Crimmins, A.R., C.W. Avery, D.R. Easterling, K.E. Kunkel, B.C. Stewart, and T.K. Maycock, Eds. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA. doi:10.7930/NCA5.2023.CH2

[3] "Total radiative forcing is positive and has led to an uptake of energy by the climate system. The largest contribution to total radiative forcing is caused by the increase in the atmospheric concentration of CO₂ since 1750." and "From 1750 to 2011, CO₂ emissions from fossil fuel combustion and cement production have released 375 [345 to 405] GtC to the atmosphere, while deforestation and other land-use change are estimated to have released 180 [100 to 260] GtC." In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

[Myers_2021-4] Myers, Krista F.; Doran, Peter T.; Cook, John; Kotcher, John E.; Myers, Teresa A. (2021? 10? 20?). “Consensus revisited: quantifying scientific agreement on climate change and climate expertise among Earth scientists 10 years later”. 《Environmental Research Letters》 16 (10): 104030. Bibcode:2021ERL....16j4030M. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac2774. S2CID 239047650.

[5] John Cook; ?. (April 2016). “Consensus on consensus: a synthesis of consensus estimates on human-caused global warming”. 《Environmental Research Letters》 11 (4): 048002. Bibcode:2016ERL....11d8002C. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/048002.

[Powell2019-6] Powell, James Lawrence (2019? 11? 20?). “Scientists Reach 100% Consensus on Anthropogenic Global Warming”. 《Bulletin of Science, Technology & Society》 37 (4): 183–184. doi:10.1177/0270467619886266. S2CID 213454806. 2020? 11? 15?? ???.

[EnvRschLtrs_20211019-7] Lynas, Mark; Houlton, Benjamin Z.; Perry, Simon (2021? 10? 19?). “Greater than 99% consensus on human caused climate change in the peer-reviewed scientific literature”. 《Environmental Research Letters》 16 (11): 114005. Bibcode:2021ERL....16k4005L. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac2966. S2CID 239032360.

[8] Benestad, Rasmus E.; Nuccitelli, Dana; Lewandowsky, Stephan; Hayhoe, Katharine; Hygen, Hans Olav; van Dorland, Rob; Cook, John (2016? 11? 1?). “Learning from mistakes in climate research”. 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》 (??) 126 (3): 699–703. Bibcode:2016ThApC.126..699B. doi:10.1007/s00704-015-1597-5. hdl:2346/92619. ISSN 1434-4483.

[9] “Joint Science Academies' Statement” (PDF). 2005. 2013? 9? 9?? ?? ?? (PDF)?? ??? ??. 2025? 6? 7?? ???. It is likely that most of the warming in recent decades can be attributed to human activities (IPCC 2001). This warming has already led to changes in the Earth's climate.

[10] “'Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis.' IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, Working Group I, Summary for Policymakers. 'The best estimate of the human-induced contribution to warming is similar to the observed warming over this period.'” (PDF). 2018? 10? 22?? ?? ?? (PDF)?? ??? ??. 2025? 6? 7?? ???.

[11] Julie Brigham-Grette; ?. (September 2006). “Petroleum Geologists' Award to Novelist Crichton Is Inappropriate”. 《Eos》 87 (36): 364. Bibcode:2006EOSTr..87..364B. doi:10.1029/2006EO360008. The AAPG stands alone among scientific societies in its denial of human-induced effects on global warming.

[12] Stoddard, Isak; Anderson, Kevin; Capstick, Stuart; Carton, Wim; Depledge, Joanna; Facer, Keri; Gough, Clair; Hache, Frederic; Hoolohan, Claire; Hultman, Martin; H?llstr?m, Niclas; Kartha, Sivan; Klinsky, Sonja; Kuchler, Magdalena; L?vbrand, Eva; Nasiritousi, Naghmeh; Newell, Peter; Peters, Glen P.; Sokona, Youba; Stirling, Andy; Stilwell, Matthew; Spash, Clive L.; Williams, Mariama; ?. (2021? 10? 18?). “Three Decades of Climate Mitigation: Why Haven't We Bent the Global Emissions Curve?”. 《Annual Review of Environment and Resources》 (??) 46 (1): 653–689. doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-012220-011104. hdl:1983/93c742bc-4895-42ac-be81-535f36c5039d. ISSN 1543-5938. S2CID 233815004. 2025? 6? 7?? ???.

[13] Mann, Michael E.; Toles, Tom (2016). 《The Madhouse Effect》. New York Chichester, West Sussex: Columbia University Press. doi:10.7312/mann17786. ISBN 978-0231541817.

[14] Oreskes, Naomi; Conway, Erik (2012). 《Merchants of doubt : how a handful of scientists obscured the truth on issues from tobacco smoke to global warming》. Bloomsbury. ISBN 978-1408824832. OCLC 934374946.

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